Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.001060 0.001097 0.001135 0.001175 0.001219 0.001264 0.001314
2025-08-31 0.001005 0.001061 0.001119 0.001184 0.001257 0.001335 0.001425
2025-09-07 0.000958 0.001026 0.001099 0.001185 0.001282 0.001391 0.001522
2025-09-14 0.000911 0.000988 0.001072 0.001173 0.001290 0.001425 0.001594
2025-09-21 0.000870 0.000952 0.001045 0.001157 0.001291 0.001450 0.001653
2025-09-28 0.000839 0.000926 0.001026 0.001149 0.001299 0.001480 0.001721
2025-10-05 0.000797 0.000885 0.000987 0.001114 0.001272 0.001466 0.001728
2025-10-12 0.000773 0.000865 0.000971 0.001106 0.001276 0.001489 0.001785
2025-10-19 0.000757 0.000851 0.000963 0.001107 0.001291 0.001526 0.001860
2025-10-26 0.000737 0.000833 0.000948 0.001097 0.001292 0.001544 0.001912
2025-11-02 0.000724 0.000823 0.000942 0.001099 0.001306 0.001580 0.001989
2025-11-09 0.000708 0.000808 0.000930 0.001092 0.001309 0.001600 0.002045
2025-11-16 0.000690 0.000792 0.000915 0.001082 0.001307 0.001614 0.002092
2025-11-23 0.000685 0.000790 0.000920 0.001097 0.001340 0.001678 0.002223
2025-11-30 0.000676 0.000783 0.000917 0.001100 0.001357 0.001722 0.002323
2025-12-07 0.000661 0.000769 0.000904 0.001091 0.001356 0.001737 0.002380
2025-12-14 0.000646 0.000754 0.000889 0.001078 0.001348 0.001742 0.002419
2025-12-21 0.000634 0.000742 0.000879 0.001071 0.001349 0.001759 0.002480
2025-12-28 0.000613 0.000718 0.000852 0.001041 0.001314 0.001720 0.002437
2026-01-04 0.000602 0.000708 0.000842 0.001033 0.001312 0.001733 0.002490
2026-01-11 0.000595 0.000702 0.000838 0.001034 0.001323 0.001765 0.002580
2026-01-18 0.000585 0.000691 0.000828 0.001026 0.001320 0.001775 0.002629
2026-01-25 0.000579 0.000686 0.000825 0.001027 0.001331 0.001808 0.002725